Gartner defined a strategic technology as one with the potential for significant impact on the enterprise in the next three years. Gartner has predicted that by 2013 mobile phones will overtake PCs as the most common Web access device worldwide and that by 2015 over 80 percent of the handsets sold in mature markets will be smartphones. However, only 20 percent of those handsets are likely to be Windows phones.
By 2015 media tablet shipments will reach around 50 percent of laptop shipments and Windows 8 will likely be in third place behind Google’s Android and Apple iOS operating systems. Consumerization will mean enterprises won’t be able to force users to give up their iPads or prevent the use of Windows 8 to the extent consumers adopt consumer targeted Windows 8 devices. Enterprises will need to support a greater variety of form factors reducing the ability to standardize PC and tablet hardware.
Currently, Gartner separates mobile development tools into several categories. For the next few years, no single tool will be optimal for all types of mobile application so expect to employ several.Six mobile architectures – native, special, hybrid, HTML 5, Message and No Client will remain popular. However, there will be a long term shift away from native apps to Web apps as HTML5 becomes more capable.
Additional Gartner views, were that the personal cloud shifts the focus from the client device to cloud-based services delivered across devices. The Internet of Things (IoT) is a concept that describes how the Internet will expand as physical items such as consumer devices and physical assets are connected to the Internet.
Key elements of the Internet of Things (IoT) which are being embedded in a variety of mobile devices include embedded sensors, image recognition technologies and NFC payment. As a result, mobile no longer refers only to use of cellular handsets or tablets. Cellular technology is being embedded in many new types of devices including pharmaceutical containers and automobiles. The IoT will enable a wide range of new applications and services while raising many new challenges.
Big Data is moving from a focus on individual projects to an influence on enterprises’ strategic information architecture next year.
The Gartner top 10 strategic technology trends for 2013 included:
- Mobile Device Battles
- Mobile Applications and HTML5
- Personal Cloud
- Enterprise App Stores
- The Internet of Things
- Hybrid IT and Cloud Computing
- Strategic Big Data
- Actionable Analytics
- In Memory Computing
- Integrated Ecosystems
Next up to gaze into the crystal ball for 2013, is Fast Company. The business magazine released its 20 tech trends that will define 2013, and the optimism it expresses for the upcoming year is pretty contagious. The views were sourced from a wide variety of technologists, designers, and strategists.
The technologies are highly feasible, commercially viable, and they’re bubbling up to the surface of the global zeitgeist.
Many of the trends seem to apply to people who are deeply immersed in technology, but here are five trends that could have a more direct effect on the entrepreneurial set and larger organisations:
- smartphone accessories become smarter
- Faces become interfaces
- We reach the tablet tipping point
- Virtual manufacturing starts small
- The art of innovation becomes more artful
Some of the trends may not affect the technology that most of us use every day, but if the level of tech progress Fast Company predicts comes true, 2013 is shaping up to be an interesting year.